Февраль 2018 — Заметка №8

У Нассима Талеба вышла новая книга “Skin in the game”. Талеб весьма интересен тем, что он не боится высказывать взгляды очень далекие от общепринятых (вспомним его статью про диктатуру меньшинства, например).

Тут какой-то чувак написал выжимку его книги: https://twitter.com/Douglas9162/status/965904588846051328

Главная идея: мнение/убеждение это чушь, если высказывающий это мнение/убеждение не несет рисков из-за возможной ошибочности этого мнения.

Несколько наиболее понравившихся цитат.

2-Opinion’s are BS generally, unless someone lives/is exposed to the risks of that opinion it is invalid
..
11-You will never convince someone that he is wrong, only reality can. ALL people should be at risk of all downside to their decisions.
..
16-Avoid taking advice from someone who gives advice for a living, unless there is a penalty for their advice.
..
17-The doer wins by doing, not convincing. E.g. if someone is trying to convince you how cool their life is then it is not cool
..
22- Theories are fine, just don’t tell people how to apply them. People with SITG decide what theories they need.
..
23-people with SITG bring simplicity. People with SITG have no benefit for added complexity. Therefore be careful of people without SITG proposing complex solutions for a problem. They have incentive to seem sophisticated instead of just solving the actual problem
..
27- If you do not take risks for your opinion you are nothing